Housing
starts and permits had double digit positive moves in November as reported by
the Census Bureau and HUD. The November starts figures rebounded from a low
October level but still managed to exceed half of the monthly levels reported
for 2015. Single-family starts were up 7.6% to 768,000, their highest level
since January 2008. Every region except the Midwest experienced a rise in single-family
starts.
Permits also peaked at their highest level since August 2007 at 1,289,000 which
was up 11% from an upwardly revised October. Single-family permits were up
modestly but enough to also set an eight year record of 723,000. Single-family
permits rose in every region except the South, which was still the second
highest of the year
November
levels for starts and permits reflect builders’ steady expectations for
continued modest growth in housing demand for both apartment rentals and
single-family owned homes. Younger, newly-formed households are headed for
apartment rentals in record numbers as the millennial generation begins to move
out of their parents’ homes and into their own living arrangement. Current home
owners who have delayed moving because of economic reasons are finally taking
advantage of low mortgage rates and affordable home prices to make the move
they postponed. Neither movement is expected to be dramatic but rather a small
speed up in the trends that have been developing over the past two years as the
economy cures, employment grows and consumer confidence returns.

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